What’s your confidence that an item 12 months out on your roadmap will actually ship that month? How about 18 months? Less so, right? But some people assume that if they see it on a roadmap in a particular quarter it’s a commitment.
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To set expectations properly, some teams mark items or whole timeframes with a confidence score. Things in the current quarter have an 80% confidence of shipping in that quarter. Maybe items in the next quarter are 60%, and items 4 or more quarters out are no more than 25%.
Have you ever used a confidence score on your roadmap? Do you have some other method of communicating that things might change? Tell me a story.